BankAtlas Research · U.S. Banking Risk Quarterly
For Immediate Release

BankAtlas Launches U.S. Banking Risk Quarterly; Finds Q2 Improvement Uneven Across U.S. Banks

The inaugural issue, Improvement, Unevenly Distributed, finds that U.S. banking conditions improved year over year while the gains varied significantly across bank sizes and across institutions.

Update — September 23, 2026

BankAtlas Equity Indices are research indices. The September 30, 2026 prospective tracking date referred to in the disclosures below had not been formally approved. No live inception date is currently approved. Prospective daily tracking will begin following governance and production acceptance.

The release below is reproduced as originally issued and has not been altered. Where it refers to prospective tracking beginning September 30, 2026, this update supersedes it.

BankAtlas today introduced the U.S. Banking Risk Quarterly, a recurring research report examining U.S. banking conditions, and published its inaugural issue covering the second quarter of 2026.

The report analyzes 4,296 U.S. institutions using BankAtlas's proprietary analytical framework and more than two decades of regulatory reporting history. Its inaugural issue, Improvement, Unevenly Distributed, finds that banking conditions improved year over year, but that the gains varied significantly across bank sizes and across institutions.

Three findings from the second quarter

Improvement was real, but not shared by a majority of institutions. Among matched institutions, 43.7% improved year over year, while 29.2% deteriorated and 27.1% were approximately unchanged under the report's calibrated flat band.

The drivers differed sharply by bank size. Asset Quality deterioration was concentrated among institutions below $10 billion in assets, while larger institutions displayed a different balance-sheet pattern. Securities-loss conditions improved across all four major size cohorts, making them the broadest favorable balance-sheet movement identified in the report.

Weak fundamental standing and funding vulnerability are different populations. The weak composite tail represents 29.9% of institutions but only 18.6% of aggregate assets in the report's covered universe. Only 27.2% of that group also met BankAtlas's elevated-relative-RVI watch-zone criterion, indicating that the two measures identify substantially different populations.

Among institutions with complete data across the six measures tested, the report also found no evidence that adverse balance-sheet movements accumulated within the same banks more frequently than expected from the individual prevalence of those pressures.

Findings registered in advance for re-test

Each issue registers selected findings for pre-specified re-test in the following quarter. Issue 1 records eight findings and establishes in advance the conditions under which each will be classified as persisting, reversing or producing no signal when third-quarter regulatory data become available.

— Jonnathan Wong-Coronel, Founder, BankAtlas

"Banking conditions improved in the second quarter, but the gains were uneven. The upper quartile of institutions now sits near the top of its post-2003 historical range, while the weakest decile remains much closer to the middle. The BankAtlas U.S. Banking Risk Quarterly is designed to measure those differences under rules specified in advance and re-test the same findings next quarter."
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About BankAtlas

BankAtlas is a quantitative U.S. bank-intelligence platform built on more than two decades of regulatory data. The platform combines proprietary bank-risk grades, run-vulnerability measures, peer analytics, systematic equity and credit benchmarks, and an agentic AI analyst designed to investigate institutions, compare peers, and monitor emerging risk. BankAtlas serves investors, risk teams, bank executives, corporate treasurers, and other professional users seeking a quantitative view of U.S. bank risk.

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BankAtlas.com
info@bankatlas.com

Important disclosures: BankAtlas provides proprietary quantitative analytics and indices for institutional users’ own evaluation. BankAtlas is not registered with the SEC as a nationally recognized statistical rating organization (NRSRO). Its grades and scores are proprietary analytical measures and are not presented as credit ratings; its indices are rules-based analytical benchmarks. Nothing herein constitutes investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation regarding any institution, security, or index-linked product. The indices are designed to reflect BankAtlas’s proprietary risk signals. All historical index results are backtested (simulated) and do not reflect actual trading; prospective tracking of the indices is scheduled to begin September 30, 2026, and all history prior to that date is backtested. Past performance does not indicate future results. BankAtlas does not predict that any particular institution will fail or experience any specific future financial outcome.
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